How to read

The step chart shows the average finishing position for each RPR rank. If RPR were a perfect predictor, the line would rise in a straight diagonal.

The scatter shows individual runners — each dot is a horse. Dots near the diagonal mean the rating predicted the finish accurately.

Coverage

13437 races, 118,059 runners

RPR favourite wins: 74.5%

2024-01-01 to 2026-02-21

The Ratings Engine

How powerful is the Racing Post Rating — and where does it shine brightest?

RPR favourite win rate by class

Class 5

78.1%

4264 races · top 3: 98.4%

Class 6

73.2%

4135 races · top 3: 98.3%

Class 4

73.9%

2742 races · top 3: 97.6%

Class 2

62.5%

925 races · top 3: 91.1%

Class 3

64.4%

810 races · top 3: 95.6%

Class 1

92.9%

561 races · top 3: 99.8%

Built with data from Racing Post · For the love of the Racing Post